China’s R&D intensity will catch up with Europe’s by 2010

Andreas von Bubnoff reports (Nature 436, 314 (21 July 2005)) that the rise of the global share of scientific output of China is striking. I think we’d better accept this new reality in the international research landscape and adapt to it.

By comparison, Europe last year produced 38% of the world’s scientific papers, and the United States produced 33% (see Graph). Although it is the current world leader, Europe is beginning to worry. The European Commission is due to release a report this week saying that the European Union (EU) may not reach its stated spending goals for research and development by the end of this decade.

Thomson’s findings echo a highly regarded 2004 National Science Foundation (NSF) analysis — the biennial Science and Engineering Indicators. This showed that the number of US papers published has remained essentially flat over the past decade, whereas the rest of the world has been publishing more with every year.


About Wilfred Mijnhardt
RMIMR is my virtual playground, a place to reflect on issues from my professional context, my job as Policy Director at Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University (RSM). RSM is the international university based business school at Erasmus University Rotterdam. More info here: Here is my list of relevant publications on the topic of my RMIMR weblog: The rss feed for my RMIMR collection is here: Here is my other weblog on impact of research:

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